How to evaluate a candidate:
My
conservative brethren do miss the point! A Republican MUST be elected president
of the United States in 2016. Our Republic is in serious trouble. We do not
have the luxury of procrastinating until "next time." There may NOT
BE a "next time." Please stop counting the – Ahem “flatulence” -- that
this potential candidate or the other emits and focus on the fact that none
smell so bad as the very BREATH of those who would be the Democrats' likely
candidates! May I offer you as a "homework" assignment a means of
learning how to numerically evaluate a candidate? In this case, a presidential candidate.
As
with any job, the president has tasks
to complete. There will be constraints on how well s/he can
perform those tasks and resources to
be drawn upon to accomplish the tasks.
The president will bring to the job specific attributes or abilities that will be counterbalanced by various deficiencies.
To
start this evaluation, consider the table, below. The five items identified above form broad categories. They are labeled A - E and are listed
in the second column. In the third
column, write the percentage of the president’s job that you think each
category is worth. The total must
be 100%. For example, you might
think that showing a task is contemplated or in progress is more important than
how well the task is actually performed. In such case, you might say that 25%
of the president’s effort should be devoted to showing attention to the task,
but that the ability to satisfactorily complete it is only worth 10%. In this
example, you might also then consider the deficiencies to counter-weigh the
attributes also at 10%. If the
resources to accomplish the tasks of the office are significant, they may be valued
at perhaps 35% leaving the constraints at 20%. The fourth column contains seven rows per category. (Make more, if you wish but seven is
probably enough for your evaluation.) You then identify seven tasks, functions
or other criteria that you believe are needed to “make” a president. For example, under tasks, you might
list “develop foreign policy.”
Under constraints, it may be “work with hostile congress” and under
attributes, it may be “prior experience,” and so on. Observe that each entry is a verb and noun. Use the fifth column to rank the tasks,
function or criteria in order of importance, “1” being most important.
KEY
|
CATEGORIES
|
%
|
FUNCTIONS
|
RANK
|
A
|
TASKS
|
25
|
Develop foreign policy
|
|
Unify people of U.S.
|
1
|
|||
Promote scientific achievement
|
|
|||
Fight terrorism
|
|
|||
Maintain military readiness
|
|
|||
Develop balanced budget
|
|
|||
|
|
|||
B
|
CONSTRAINTS
|
20
|
Work with hostile congress
|
|
Partner with foreign competitors
|
|
|||
Anticipate terrorist threats
|
|
|||
Handle natural disasters
|
|
|||
Recognize finite monetary resources
|
1
|
|||
|
|
|||
|
|
|||
C
|
RESOURCES
|
35
|
Use military against threats
|
|
Communicate goals to people
|
1
|
|||
Apply demonstrated skills
|
|
|||
Delegate to cabinet officers
|
|
|||
|
|
|||
|
|
|||
|
|
|||
D
|
ATTRIBUTES
|
10
|
Understands separation of powers
|
|
Willing to delegate authority
|
|
|||
Has significant leadership experience
|
|
|||
Possesses common sense
|
1
|
|||
Is patriotic
|
|
|||
Is self-made
|
|
|||
|
|
|||
E
|
DEFFICIENCIES
|
10
|
Flip-flops on issues
|
1
|
Ponders too long before acting
|
|
|||
Misapplies executive authority
|
|
|||
Used drugs or alcohol
|
|
|||
Lacks good communication skills
|
|
|||
|
|
|||
|
|
|||
|
|
100%
|
|
|
Compare the function identified as most important to
you in one category to each of the most important functions in the other
categories. Use the Evaluation
Weight Factors to show the magnitude of importance. Thus, comparing the most
important function in category A to the most important in category B shows
that A has a major difference in importance compared to B, and so forth. Then, sum the results for A, B and the
others.
B
|
C
|
D
|
E
|
|
Function
|
|
Sum
|
Evaluation Weight Factors
|
|
A-3
|
A-3
|
A-2
|
E-2
|
A
|
A
|
3+3+2
|
8
|
||
|
C-3
|
D-1
|
E-3
|
B
|
B
|
0
|
0
|
||
|
D-1
|
E-1
|
C
|
C
|
3
|
3
|
1
|
Minor
|
|
E-3
|
D
|
D
|
1+1
|
2
|
2
|
Medium
|
|||
|
E
|
E
|
2+3+1+3
|
9
|
3
|
Major
|
In this model, only the result for the first function
is shown. It shows that “E,”
flip-flopping on issues is most important (to me) in selecting a president out
of the other functions I identified as first in their categories; I want a
president who does NOT flip-flop!
Apply
the same procedure for the remaining six functions in each category. When you have completed all of the
functions, total them in each category.
For example, let us say you get the results shown in the table for
categories “A” and “E.” You can
work on B, C and D yourself.
Category A
|
Sum
|
A (function 1)
|
8
|
A (function 2)
|
2
|
A (function 3)
|
0
|
A (function 4)
|
7
|
A (function 5)
|
6
|
A (function 6)
|
1
|
A (function 7)
|
4
|
Total
|
28
|
Category
E
|
Sum
|
E
(function 1)
|
9
|
E(function
2)
|
4
|
E(function
3)
|
10
|
E(function
4)
|
2
|
E(function
5)
|
0
|
E(function
6)
|
1
|
E(function
7)
|
5
|
Total
|
31
|
Then
apply the worth percentage that you value the functions in the “A” category –
25% and the value in the “E” category --10%. This gives you a final score of 31 x 0.1 = 3.1 for
“Deficiencies” and 28 x 0.25 = 7 for “Tasks.” If the other functions, after applying the worth
percentage, are greater than 3.1 – which is the case for Tasks, then it means
that although you don’t care for deficiencies in a candidate, it is more
important to you that they focus on something else – such as “Tasks.”
This
gives you an objective tool; a
“yard-stick” by which to measure a real candidate. If you apply the
procedure to leaders known as “great presidents” you will see how they stack up
compared to your ideals. Then
scour the field of candidates in whom you MIGHT be interested. Use the same functions you developed to
evaluate them as shown in the model. This procedure is likely going to take you
a while. It might be best to work
with others in a group. In any
event, it is exacting and – unlike campaign rhetoric laced with emotion – it
permits you to view candidates based upon a fixed criteria that YOU developed.
If
you get stuck anywhere along the way, send me email at abinc@aol.com. I’ll do my best to help you.
Jay L. Stern
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